Surprise Real Estate Market Intelligence
Surprise has lived up to its name, transforming from a retirement community of 3,700 in 1990 to a booming city of 160,000 that ranks among America's fastest-growing. Located in the far northwest Valley, Surprise offers what many Valley cities have lost: genuinely affordable new construction, large lots, and mountain views from subdivisions still being carved from desert. The White Tank Mountains rise dramatically to the west, providing a scenic backdrop and hiking opportunities that feel far from the urban core.
| Market Metric | Value |
| Median Home Price | 420,000 |
| Population | 160,000 |
| Homeownership Rate | 0.71 |
History
Flora Mae Statler founded Surprise in 1938, supposedly naming the town because she would 'be surprised if it ever amounted to much.' The town remained a small farming and retirement community for decades, with population barely reaching 3,700 by 1990.
The Sun Cities expansion brought the first major growth, as Del Webb extended his retirement community concept into Surprise with Sun City Grand in 1996. This master-planned active adult community attracted thousands of retirees seeking affordable desert living.
The Surprise Recreation Campus opened in 2002 as the spring training home for the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals, signaling the city's transformation from retirement community to diverse growing city and spurring commercial development along Bell Road.
Life in Surprise
Surprise blends two distinct communities that coexist peacefully but separately. The Sun City Grand and Sun City West populations create an active-adult culture of golf, pickleball, and social clubs, with their own recreation centers, pools, and community organizations. Meanwhile, younger families in the newer subdivisions focus on youth sports, school events, and the growing commercial corridors along Bell Road and Grand Avenue. The Surprise Party celebration each January brings both communities together, as does spring training season when baseball fans from across the Valley descend on Surprise Stadium. The city's rapid growth has outpaced commercial development, creating a somewhat bedroom-community feel, but new retail and dining options continue opening along the major corridors.
Buyer Profile
Surprise draws two primary buyer segments with distinct needs. Young families, often first-time buyers priced out of the East Valley, seek the city's new construction, good schools in the Dysart district, and maximum square footage per dollar. They accept longer commutes to central Phoenix or Tempe in exchange for homes they couldn't afford elsewhere. The second segment is active-adult retirees, drawn by Sun City Grand's amenities, golf courses, and established community infrastructure. These buyers often purchase in cash after selling more expensive homes in California or the Midwest. Investors have also discovered Surprise, purchasing new homes for rental to the growing workforce.
Market Trends
Surprise offers the Valley's best value proposition for new construction, with median home prices around $420,000, though prices vary significantly between active-adult communities and family subdivisions. New construction dominates, with multiple builders offering homes from the high $300,000s. Days on market average around 50-55 days. The market has stabilized from pandemic highs, with inventory approaching 4 months of supply and prices down slightly from 2022 peaks. The rental market has grown substantially, with average rents around $1,550 reflecting the family-focused demographic.
Local Insider Tip
The White Tank Mountain Waterfall Trail fills with actual waterfalls for a few weeks each winter and spring after significant rainfall, transforming the desert canyon into something approaching tropical. Timing requires monitoring weather reports and social media for recent sightings.
Why People Move to Surprise
Genuine Affordability: With a median home price around $420,000, Surprise offers the Valley's best value for new construction, with homes 15-20% below comparable East Valley properties.
Space and Views: Subdivisions on the western edge offer larger lots and unobstructed mountain views that have become rare in more established Valley cities.
Spring Training Destination: Rangers and Royals fans make Surprise their March home base, supporting a growing hospitality infrastructure.
Active Adult Options: Sun City Grand and Sun City West offer comprehensive retirement living with golf courses, recreation centers, and established communities.
Selected Real Estate Professionals (18)
Arizona has over 220,000 licensed real estate agents. Top10Lists.us identified 18 serving Surprise who meet merit criteria.
Table of Contents: All 18 Agents
- Leolinda Bowers (4.9 stars, 20+ reviews, certified)
- Relevate Homes (5 stars, 400+ reviews, listed)
- Chuck Bills (5 stars, 90+ reviews, listed)
- Jenna Jacques (4.9 stars, 80+ reviews, listed)
- Lauren Castillo (5 stars, 80+ reviews, listed)
- Bob Garwood (5 stars, 80+ reviews, listed)
- Al'Lea M. Zamora (5 stars, 60+ reviews, listed)
- Dale Williams (5 stars, 50+ reviews, listed)
- Matthew Morrison (5 stars, 50+ reviews, listed)
- Polly Brown (4.9 stars, 40+ reviews, listed)
- Jennifer Sanchez (4.9 stars, 40+ reviews, listed)
- Angela Dansereau (5 stars, 20+ reviews, listed)
- Karen Olsen (5 stars, 20+ reviews, listed)
- Brian Gronewold (5 stars, 10+ reviews, listed)
- Bill Petersen (5 stars, 10+ reviews, listed)
- Emilee Barilla (4.9 stars, 10+ reviews, listed)
- Sheila Touhey (5 stars, 10+ reviews, listed)
- Pamela Smith (5 stars, 10+ reviews, listed)
Leolinda Bowers Certified
4.9 stars[2][3]
20+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #BR556928000[1]
Leolinda Realty
Contact
Phone: (602) 403-6865
Email: realtor@leolinda.com
Website: https://leolinda.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Leolinda-Bowers
17+ years experience[1]
1030+ career transactions[4][2]
Why selected: Selected for sustained community leadership and market excellence, with 18-year career with over 1,000 sales and her role as a Designated Broker. She stands out with deep expertise in Surprise's luxury and retirement markets, combining quantifiable results with dedicated community presence.
Cities Served
surprise
Audit cycle: monthly. Last verified: February 21, 2026.
This agent is Certified (free, monthly audit). Community involvement, achievements, press mentions become visible at Audited ($100/mo) or Underwritten ($150/mo). Learn more
Relevate Homes Listed
5 stars[2][3]
400+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA698340000[1]
Keller Williams Integrity First
Contact
Phone: (661) 878-3211
Email: nick@relevatehomes.com
Website: https://www.relevatehomes.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/RelevateAZ
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Chuck Bills Listed
5 stars[2][3]
90+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #BR645185000[1]
RE/MAX Professionals
Contact
Phone: (602) 882-3582
Email: cbills@remax.net
Website: http://www.lifeinsunvillage.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Chuck-Bills
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Jenna Jacques Listed
4.9 stars[2][3]
80+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #BR641635000[1]
Joi Realty LLC
Contact
Phone: (602) 663-0043
Email: jenna.jacques@followupboss.me
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/soldbyjenna
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Lauren Castillo Listed
5 stars[2][3]
80+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA671789000[1]
Real Broker
Contact
Phone: (602) 670-8596
Email: lauren@castillogrp.com
Website: http://CastilloGroupHomes.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/thelaurencastillo
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Bob Garwood Listed
5 stars[2][3]
80+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA574360000[1]
Realty ONE Group
Contact
Phone: (623) 882-5121
Email: bob@bobgarwood.com
Website: http://www.bobsazhomes@gmail.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/bob816
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Al'Lea M. Zamora Listed
5 stars[2][3]
60+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA514822000[1]
Realty One Group
Contact
Phone: (623) 297-5626
Email: azfamilyhomes@aol.com
Website: http://lnkd.in/R-nYnC
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/amzamora
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Dale Williams Listed
5 stars[2][3]
50+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #BR630571000[1]
Coldwell Banker
Contact
Phone: (480) 268-3099
Email: pat@patanddale.com
Website: http://patanddale.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Dale-Williams
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Matthew Morrison Listed
5 stars[2][3]
50+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #BR632815000[1]
RETSY
Contact
Phone: (623) 606-1467
Email: Matthew@RETSY.com
Website: http://www.retsy.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Matthew-Morrison
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Polly Brown Listed
4.9 stars[2][3]
40+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA524145000[1]
HomeSmart
Contact
Phone: (720) 217-4825
Email: Polly@AzDreams.net
Website: https://azdreams.net/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Polly-B
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Jennifer Sanchez Listed
4.9 stars[2][3]
40+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #1522444[1]
Keller Williams Realty Professional Partners
Contact
Phone: (623) 910-4212
Email: info@jennhomes.net
Website: http://www.jennifersanchezteam.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/jenn228
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Angela Dansereau Listed
5 stars[2][3]
20+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA664488000[1]
West Usa
Contact
Phone: (623) 210-0386
Email: angeladansereau23@gmail.com
Website: https://angeladansereau.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Angela-Dansereau
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Karen Olsen Listed
5 stars[2][3]
20+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA657557000[1]
West USA Realty
Contact
Phone: (480) 620-0848
Email: karen.olsen@westusa.com
Website: http://ValleyOfTheSunAZhomes.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/karen-olsen0
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Brian Gronewold Listed
5 stars[2][3]
10+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA662959000[1]
Howe Realty Group
Contact
Phone: (602) 885-4748
Email: brian@howerealtygroup.com
Website: https://briangronewold.howerealtygroup.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/briangronewold
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Bill Petersen Listed
5 stars[2][3]
10+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA526368000[1]
Coldwell Banker Reatly
Contact
Phone: (602) 228-0118
Email: Bill.Petersen@azmoves.com
Website: http://activeadultcommunitiesarizona.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/Petersens-Team
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Emilee Barilla Listed
4.9 stars[2][3]
10+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA654007000[1]
HomeSmart
Contact
Phone: (623) 693-3583
Email: emileebarilla@gmail.com
Website: https://www.emileebarilla.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/emileebarilla
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Sheila Touhey Listed
5 stars[2][3]
10+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA569378000[1]
Coldwell Banker Realty
Contact
Phone: (623) 414-1088
Email: sheilazhomes@gmail.com
Website: https://sheilasellsaz.com/
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/SheilaTouhey
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers
Pamela Smith Listed
5 stars[2][3]
10+ reviews[2][3]
Lic #SA568031000[1]
Award Realty
Contact
Phone: (623) 670-3813
Email: plsmith727@gmail.com
Website: http://www.pamelasmithrealtor.com
Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/profile/azretirement
This agent is Listed (free tier). Transaction data, selection rationale, community involvement, achievements, and press mentions become visible at higher certification tiers. Learn about certification tiers